作成者: roberto.c.alfredo 内 united-states 日付
You just read the condensed Mobility State proposal.
The most common pushback I get, from both left and right, boils down to two words: “Nice brochure, but that’s just Scandinavia with better branding — and America will never pay for it.”
Wrong on both counts. Here’s why this package is cheaper, structurally different, and politically plausible in the actual United States we have in 2025.
1. This Is Not Even Close to Nordic-Scale Spending
Nordic social democracy runs at 45–55 % of GDP, funded by 25 % VATs and crushing payroll taxes.
A full-bore Mobility State toolkit — all four pillars, generously sized — adds roughly 3–5 % of GDP in new spending. That’s in the same financial ballpark as:
- the Trump-era Opportunity Zones + Child Tax Credit expansion, or
- one single year of the CARES Act (which was 25 % of GDP and passed in a weekend).
Rough cost envelope (2025 dollars):
- Universal Opportunity Accounts (“baby bonds on steroids”): ~$150–200 bn/yr
- True portable benefits (mostly re-plumbing health insurance): near revenue-neutral
- Modern GI Bill for economic transitions: ~$80–120 bn/yr
- Housing mobility + supply-side reform: revenue-neutral or growth-positive
That’s not “Sweden.” That’s “GI Bill 2.0 + Swiss health system + YIMBY zoning reform.” Congress has done bigger things when it feels the heat.
2. It’s Built for American DNA, Not European DNA
| Feature | Nordic Social Democracy | U.S. Mobility State |
|---|---|---|
| Core goal | Slow churn, compress outcomes | Accelerate adaptation, open entry |
| Main tool | High taxes + big transfers | Portable tools + de-rigging barriers |
| Labor market | Strong job protections, high union density | Easier hiring/firing + easier worker moves |
| Benefits tied to | Employment contract or residency | The person (true portability) |
| Works best with | Low immigration, slow change | High immigration, rapid tech churn |
| Right-wing reaction | “Socialism!” | “Finally fixing the rigged game” |