Estados Unidos — Arquivo de sábado, 22 de novembro de 2025

• The Mobility State Isn’t Pie-in-the-Sky (And It Definitely Isn’t Social Democracy)

  Criado por: roberto.c.alfredo em united-states em 22 de nov. de 2025, 04:25

  You just read the condensed Mobility State proposal.

  The most common pushback I get, from both left and right, boils down to two words:   “Nice brochure, but that’s just Scandinavia with better branding — and America will never pay for it.”

  Wrong on both counts. Here’s why this package is cheaper, structurally different, and politically plausible in the actual United States we have in 2025.

  1. This Is Not Even Close to Nordic-Scale Spending

  Nordic social democracy runs at 45–55 % of GDP, funded by 25 % VATs and crushing payroll taxes.

  A full-bore Mobility State toolkit — all four pillars, generously sized — adds roughly 3–5 % of GDP in new spending. That’s in the same financial ballpark as:

  • the Trump-era Opportunity Zones + Child Tax Credit expansion, or
  • one single year of the CARES Act (which was 25 % of GDP and passed in a weekend).

  Rough cost envelope (2025 dollars):

  • Universal Opportunity Accounts (“baby bonds on steroids”): ~$150–200 bn/yr
  • True portable benefits (mostly re-plumbing health insurance): near revenue-neutral
  • Modern GI Bill for economic transitions: ~$80–120 bn/yr
  • Housing mobility + supply-side reform: revenue-neutral or growth-positive

  That’s not “Sweden.” That’s “GI Bill 2.0 + Swiss health system + YIMBY zoning reform.” Congress has done bigger things when it feels the heat.

  2. It’s Built for American DNA, Not European DNA

  Feature	Nordic Social Democracy	U.S. Mobility State
  Core goal	Slow churn, compress outcomes	Accelerate adaptation, open entry
  Main tool	High taxes + big transfers	Portable tools + de-rigging barriers
  Labor market	Strong job protections, high union density	Easier hiring/firing + easier worker moves
  Benefits tied to	Employment contract or residency	The person (true portability)
  Works best with	Low immigration, slow change	High immigration, rapid tech churn
  Right-wing reaction	“Socialism!”	“Finally fixing the rigged game”

  Mais...